Confirmando las previsiones de los mercados de que la economía podría crecer este año entre 1,2% y 1,5%, entre enero y agosto de este año señala que la actividad llegó a 1,34%, presentando una disminución de 8,17% frente al mismo periodo del año pasado, esto de acuerdo con el Indicador de Seguimiento a la Economía (ISE).
El ISE es un índice sintético mensual, cuyo fin es proporcionar una medida de la evolución de la actividad económica del país en el corto plazo; el cual es construido a partir de un conjunto heterogéneo de indicadores representativos de cada actividad económica.
Este indicador permite identificar la estacionalidad, la tendencia y el ciclo de la dinámica económica a lo largo del tiempo, a través de un análisis coherente y comparativo.
Actividades primarias
Respecto al comportamiento anual, para el mes de agosto el índice de las actividades primarias, en su serie original se ubicó en 107,94, lo que representó un crecimiento de 1,19% respecto al mes de agosto de 2022 (106,67). En cuanto a la serie ajustada por efecto estacional y calendario, para el mes de agosto de 2023, se ubicó en 101,65, con un crecimiento de 1,25%. Estas actividades agrupan a sectores como agricultura, ganadería, caza, silvicultura y pesca; y extracción de minas y canteras.
De acuerdo con la entidad de estadística, para agosto de este año, el índice de las actividades primarias en su serie ajustada por efecto estacional y calendario, se ubicó en 101,65 con un crecimiento de 1,50%, respecto a julio de 2023 (100,15).
Los doce meses
Para el mes de agosto de 2023 el ISE en su serie original, se ubicó en 122,72, con un crecimiento de 0,23% respecto al mes de agosto de 2022 (122,44). Además, por efecto estacional y calendario, se ubicó en 122,14, con un crecimiento de 0,31% respecto al mes de agosto de 2022 (121,76).
Por otra parte, para el mismo mes analizado, en su serie ajustada se ubicó en 122,14, lo que representó un crecimiento de 0,76%, respecto al mes de julio de 2023 (121,22).
Actividades secundarias
Apunta el DANE, que el índice de las actividades secundarias, en su serie original se ubicó en 103,18, con un decrecimiento de 7,03% respecto al mes de agosto de 2022 (110,97). En cuanto a la serie ajustada por efecto estacional y calendario, para el mes de agosto de 2023, se ubicó en 97,88, con una caída de 7,49% respecto al mes de agosto de 2022 (105,80). Las actividades secundarias agrupan las actividades de Industrias manufactureras y construcción.
Actividades terciarias
Para el mes de agosto el índice de las actividades terciarias, en su serie original se ubicó en 131,74, con un crecimiento de 1,68% frente al mismo mes de 2022 (129,56). En cuanto a la serie ajustada por efecto estacional y calendario, para agosto de 2023 se ubicó en 134,88, con un crecimiento de 1,89% respecto al mes de agosto de 2022 (132,38).
Por otro lado, el índice de las actividades terciarias en su serie ajustada por efecto estacional y calendario se ubicó en 134,88, lo que representó un crecimiento de 0,72%, respecto al mes de julio de 2023pr (133,91).
Las actividades terciarias comprenden suministro de electricidad, gas, vapor y aire acondicionado; distribución de agua; evacuación y tratamiento de aguas residuales, gestión de desechos y actividades de saneamiento ambiental; comercio al por mayor y al por menor; reparación de vehículos automotores y motocicletas; transporte y almacenamiento; alojamiento y servicios de comida; información y comunicaciones; actividades financieras y de seguros; actividades inmobiliarias; actividades profesionales, científicas y técnicas; actividades de servicios administrativos y de apoyo; administración pública y defensa; planes de seguridad social de afiliación obligatoria; educación; actividades de atención de la salud humana y de servicios sociales; actividades artísticas, de entretenimiento y recreación y otras actividades de servicios.
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